Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Michigan
Mid-American
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#245
Expected Predictive Rating-7.5#283
Pace71.5#105
Improvement-2.2#277

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#271
First Shot-4.0#291
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#136
Layup/Dunks-3.4#297
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#179
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#219
Freethrows+0.8#123
Improvement-2.6#292

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#216
First Shot-2.6#245
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#72
Layups/Dunks-3.0#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#120
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#231
Freethrows+0.7#130
Improvement+0.5#157
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 4.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 2.00.0 - 6.0
Quad 20.0 - 6.00.0 - 12.0
Quad 33.0 - 9.03.0 - 21.0
Quad 44.0 - 3.07.0 - 24.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 255   Detroit Mercy W 89-76 62%     1 - 0 +4.7 +5.2 -1.0
  Nov 10, 2018 41   @ Mississippi L 64-90 5%     1 - 1 -12.4 -5.0 -6.6
  Nov 13, 2018 187   @ Oakland W 85-77 OT 27%     2 - 1 +9.2 +0.0 +8.3
  Nov 19, 2018 32   @ Cincinnati L 52-78 4%     2 - 2 -11.3 -13.1 +1.9
  Nov 23, 2018 336   Southern W 85-70 79%     3 - 2 +1.4 +11.7 -9.4
  Nov 24, 2018 306   Nicholls St. L 61-62 OT 65%     3 - 3 -10.0 -19.3 +9.4
  Dec 01, 2018 335   South Carolina Upstate L 66-71 85%     3 - 4 -21.3 -13.0 -8.4
  Dec 08, 2018 266   @ Youngstown St. W 88-77 43%     4 - 4 +7.6 +10.2 -2.6
  Dec 15, 2018 6   @ Michigan L 62-70 1%     4 - 5 +14.7 +5.6 +8.7
  Dec 19, 2018 63   @ Dayton L 72-85 8%     4 - 6 -2.5 +3.1 -5.5
  Dec 22, 2018 296   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 66-67 71%     4 - 7 -11.8 -7.4 -4.4
  Dec 30, 2018 312   UC Riverside W 73-64 74%     5 - 7 -3.0 -3.9 +1.3
  Jan 05, 2019 118   @ Akron L 48-56 14%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -1.5 -15.1 +13.3
  Jan 08, 2019 141   @ Kent St. L 73-88 18%     5 - 9 0 - 2 -10.4 -3.8 -5.9
  Jan 12, 2019 68   Toledo L 77-85 18%     5 - 10 0 - 3 -3.2 +5.7 -8.8
  Jan 15, 2019 22   Buffalo L 79-88 7%     5 - 11 0 - 4 +2.6 +3.1 +0.5
  Jan 19, 2019 112   @ Bowling Green L 48-79 13%     5 - 12 0 - 5 -24.1 -23.1 -0.4
  Jan 22, 2019 179   @ Ohio L 76-81 26%     5 - 13 0 - 6 -3.3 +7.2 -10.4
  Jan 26, 2019 151   Eastern Michigan L 67-93 37%     5 - 14 0 - 7 -27.8 -5.6 -22.3
  Feb 02, 2019 124   @ Central Michigan L 64-85 15%     5 - 15 0 - 8 -14.9 -9.9 -4.6
  Feb 05, 2019 112   Bowling Green L 72-85 27%     5 - 16 0 - 9 -11.6 -4.8 -6.1
  Feb 09, 2019 134   @ Ball St. L 59-79 17%     5 - 17 0 - 10 -14.8 -10.0 -4.4
  Feb 12, 2019 135   Northern Illinois W 76-74 32%     6 - 17 1 - 10 +1.6 +1.3 +0.2
  Feb 14, 2019 141   Kent St. L 63-82 34%     6 - 18 1 - 11 -20.0 -6.8 -15.0
  Feb 16, 2019 152   Miami (OH) W 84-79 OT 37%     7 - 18 2 - 11 +3.2 +0.3 +2.2
  Feb 23, 2019 151   @ Eastern Michigan L 76-77 OT 20%     7 - 19 2 - 12 +2.7 -3.6 +6.4
  Feb 26, 2019 135   @ Northern Illinois L 65-70 17%     7 - 20 2 - 13 +0.1 -4.1 +4.0
  Mar 02, 2019 134   Ball St. L 58-60 32%     7 - 21 2 - 14 -2.4 -12.9 +10.5
  Mar 05, 2019 68   @ Toledo L 57-76 8%     7 - 22 2 - 15 -8.7 -10.7 +2.0
  Mar 08, 2019 124   Central Michigan L 75-82 29%     7 - 23 2 - 16 -6.5 -6.1 +0.2
  Mar 11, 2019 124   @ Central Michigan L 67-81 15%     7 - 24 -7.9 -8.1 +0.7
Projected Record 7.0 - 24.0 2.0 - 16.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16 100.0% 100.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%